Exploration Odds

I've put together the numbers to look at how valuable each piece of equipment, and and combination really is. There are some pretty fantastic coincidences in here, considering that most of this balancing was a combination of intuition and playtesting. For example, the odds of finding and being able to kill something with a Sling and with an Atlatl are the same, the sling's accuracy makes up for its lack of damage dealing.

(As a side note, one missing piece from the Atlatl/Sling comparison is the scenario where the first tile that you find while hunting with a Sling is a deadly animal, which eliminates your second chance to search.)

Item / Weapon / Combo	Find	Kill	Success
Gatherer	76%	-	76%
Gatherer with 1 item	25%	-	25%
Gatherer w/ pouch + 2 items	48%	-	48%
Club	76%	52%	40%
Sling	45%	83%	57%
Spear	67%	64%	43%
Atlatl	76%	75%	57%
Bow&Arrow	76%	66%	50%
Sling+Club	76%	67%	51%
Sling+Spear	76%	71%	54%
Sling+Bow&Arrow	76%	69%	52%
Sling+Atlatl	76%	78%	59%
Club+Spear	76%	62%	47%
Spear+Bow&Arrow	76%	68%	52%

Find means the odds of drawing a tile that it is possible to take.
Kill is the average chance of taking the found tile (see the 3rd table in my previous post).
Success is the combined probability of taking a tile in a given turn.

All of these percentages assume no knowledge of what has previously been found. It does factor in exploring twice per turn (an initial failed attempt increases the odds of the next attempt because we're dealing with a pool of only 24 tiles).

Of course since these are blind odds, if you do know what it is you are hunting, or that a given tile is a plant vs. animal, your odds will increase significantly.