Closer Look at the Odds

3D6 Bell Curve

Time to peel back the curtain a bit here and look at the probability behind this game.


Weapon Statistics

Weapon	+ To Hit	Damage
Club	1	4
Sling	4	1
Spear	2	3
Atlatl	3	4
Bow&Arrow	3	2

Animal Statistics

Animal	Roll To Hit	Life
Squirrel	13	1
Rabbit	12	1
Deer	10	2
Boar	11	3
Wolf	13	3
Bear	12	4

"To Hit" Statistics


Next look at odds of killing each animal  with each weapon / combo.

Weapon / Combo	Squirrel	Rabbit	Deer	Boar	Wolf	Bear
Club	38%	50%	74.1%	63%	38%	50%
Sling	74%	84%	91%*	-	-	-
Spear	50%	63%	84%	74%	50%	-
Atlatl	63%	74%	91%	84%	63%	74%
Bow&Arrow	63%	74%	91%	70%*	40%*	55%*
Sling+Bow&Arrow*	-	-	-	76%*	46%*	-
Sling+Spear*	-	-	-	-	-	52%*

* = requires 2 shots (and 2 movement)

What's Next?
I'll look at the odds of exploring and finding something that you could take/kill depending on what equipment you are carrying. And then I'll pick apart the odds of finding and actually successfully taking/killing it.